LYC

How is LYC doing right now?

In plain terms: LYC is 30% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now LYC — Lynas Rare Earths Ltd. — is in a deep drawdown, down 30.0% from its record high. Last price: $17.96. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for LYC specifically.

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, LYC has spent enough trading days in the 30%-to-25% drawdown band to build a meaningful sample (185 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

What this means for LYC

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to LYC's own volatility history. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.