Australian Stocks signal
ALL

ALL

Aristocrat Leisure Limited · Consumer Cyclical

Australian StocksGamblingASXAUD-30.4% from ATH
Current Price

$53.30

Drawdown from ATH

-30.4%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against ALL's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: ALL's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+13.48%
May 6Jun 17
About ALL

Aristocrat Leisure Limited

Aristocrat Leisure Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a gaming content and technology company in Australia and internationally. It operates through three segments: Aristocrat Gaming, Product Madness, and Aristocrat Interactive. The company designs, develops, assembles, distributes, sells, and services gaming content, platforms, and systems, including electronic gaming machines, casino management systems, and iLottery and free-to-play mobile games. It also offers product madness

The reading

How Dipsern reads ALL right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is ALL doing right now?

In plain terms: ALL is 30.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Aristocrat Leisure Ltd. (ALL) sits 30.4% off its peak and is currently in a deep drawdown, last printing at $53.3. Deep drawdowns shift the conversation from "is this a buy" to "what's broken". Sometimes it's macro. Sometimes it's the asset itself. Dipsern's data tells you which one history rewarded.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, ALL has spent enough trading days in the 35%-to-30% drawdown band to build a large sample (256 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for ALL

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to ALL's own volatility history. Deep drawdowns require a story for why this time isn't different. The Dipsern signal can tell you what historically happened next; it can't tell you whether the current setup matches the historical analog.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to ALL's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Northern Star Resources Ltd.

-30.5% from ATH

Lynas Rare Earths Ltd.

-30.0% from ATH

Light & Wonder Inc.

-29.8% from ATH

Orica Ltd.

-28.8% from ATH

Westgold Resources Ltd.

-32.8% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ALL. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-90% to -85%61
-85% to -80%361
-80% to -75%523
-75% to -70%404
-70% to -65%257
-65% to -60%184
-60% to -55%111
-55% to -50%99
-50% to -45%62
-45% to -40%170
-40% to -35%228
-35% to -30%Current256
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of ALL's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock ALL's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ALL.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ALL at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.